NZ Parliament Building ‘The Beehive’
Wellington
New Zealand
1.1 | Welcome and introductions/role of IOC and ICG-PTWS |
1.2 | Overview of meeting aims/objectives/IOC requirements and expectations of experts meeting |
1.3 | Discussion on regional and global implications |
1.4 | Presentation and discussion of ‘what do we want to achieve?’ and key priorities |
1.5 | Current state scientific update, per discipline (30mins each) 1 |
1.5.1 | Tsunami Modelling/Tsunami Scienc |
1.5.2 | Seismology |
1.5.3 | Paleotsunami |
1.5.4 | GNSS/Geodesy |
1.5.5 | Overall tectonics |
1.6 | Summary and reflection on scientific updates and next steps for Day 2 |
2 | Focus: Seismic Source |
2.1 | Re-confirm and test meeting outcomes following Day 1 (what can/we need to achieve and priorities) |
2.2 | Global practice and global analogues (Slab 2 and GEM) |
2.3 | Geodetic and geologic constraints on seismicity |
2.4 | Probabilistic hazard assessment introduction |
2.5 | Open discussion on approaches and findings related to probabilistic assessment |
2.6 | Deterministic seismic assessment |
3 | Focus: Tsunami Source |
3.1 | Re-confirm and test meeting outcomes following Day 3 (what can/we need to achieve and priorities) |
3.2 | Elicitation process on seismic source model to support tsunami discussions (potential models that can be tested) |
3.3 | Modelling, propagation and inundation (based on results of Day 3 Session 2) |
3.4 | Uncertainty and availability of tsunami inundation |
3.5 | Paleotsunami directions and implications |
3.6 | Discussion of items 3, 4 and 5 and the implications for future science and research in the Pacific/presentation of items not covered |
3.7 | Probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment model elicitation |
3.8 | Summary/Implications for next two days: Key consideration: What can this system ‘do’? (Tonga vs. Kermadec sections) |
4 | Focus: Maximum credible scenario and implications for tsunami early warning |
4.1 | Credibility ranking of scenarios – based on work completed in previous three days |
4.2 | Ideas on emerging technologies that can advance tsunami early warning |
4.3 | Best practice regional tsunami early warning (incl. uncertainty) |
4.4 | Tsunami early warnings policy, processes, warning systems |
5 | FOCUS: Pacific wide implications and elements of emergency management |
5.1 | Re-confirm and test meeting outcomes and following Day 4 (what can/we need to achieve and |
5.2 | Opportunity for Pacific Island Country (PIC’s) observers to participate with questions and what science and uncertainty means for them |
5.3 | Discussion on specific vulnerability and exposure following the weeks discussions and meeting Outcomes |
5.4 | Data sharing considerations (Pacific wide) |
5.5 | Implications of dealing with uncertainty for tsunami service providers and emergency management |
5.6 | Communicating science and best practice under uncertainty |
5.7 | How can workshop outcomes support or change readiness activities |
5.8 | Summary/implications/key information to be captured in the official IOC report |
5.9 | Official experts meeting photo for UNESCO IOC and opportunity to address publicity or communications pre world tsunami |